Premier League could secure five Champions League spots with an additional team qualifying in 2024.

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The Premier League’s chances of claiming an extra spot in the Champions League for next season are extremely low following disappointing results for English clubs in the Champions League and Europa League. Germany is now heavily favored to secure the additional place. As of Friday 19 April 2024, England has only a 1.1 per cent chance of having five teams in the next season’s Champions League. This comes after a disastrous week for Premier League clubs in Europe, with only Aston Villa remaining in European competition after Arsenal, Manchester City, West Ham, and Liverpool were all eliminated.

Even if Villa were to win their upcoming matches and reach the Europa Conference League final, England would still need German teams to lose their remaining games to overtake them. The likelihood of England overtaking Germany in the rankings is slim, as two more victories or two draws and a win for German teams would be enough to secure second place in the table. Italy has already secured an extra Champions League spot and could potentially have six teams competing in European competitions next season. Changes have been made to the Champions League format, with clubs now guaranteed a minimum of eight league-stage games against eight different opponents and the top eight sides qualifying automatically for the knockout stage.

Additionally, teams finishing in ninth to 24th place will compete in a two-legged play-off to secure their path to the last 16 of the competition. Previously, in 2005, when Liverpool won the Champions League but finished outside the top four, the Premier League was granted five potential Champions League berths, with the caveat of having to go through qualifiers.

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